Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Deficit-Financed Economic Growth: Infrastructure vs Entitlements

The Financial Times has a blog post by John H. Makin and Daniel Hanson about sustainability of trillion dollar US government deficits. Their general conclusion is that the deficits are ok for now because of the current extremely low borrowing costs. One of their statements piqued my interest:
Eventually, the Federal Reserve’s QE programme of large government debt purchases at a current rate of $800bn per year, largely aimed at sustaining the growth of outlays on entitlements that do not support economic growth, will cause inflation to rise.

With regard to future growth, the current deficit spending differs significantly from the time of the Great Depression. In the 1930s, the US government borrowed money to build modern infrastructure, which during and after the World War II helped rapid industrial growth. At the time, entitlements were tiny and (self-)financed by the new Social Security tax. In contrast, today's infrastructure investments are small while entitlement payments are quite large. The only area of large-scale infrastructure build-up seems to be shale oil and gas pipelines. Will this be enough?


tags: economics, distribution, government, problem

(BN) Apple Sues Google Seeking Order to Comply With Subpoena

(Bloomberg ) Apple Inc. (AAPL) filed a request for an order in federal court in San Jose, California, to force Google Inc. (GOOG) to comply with a subpoena related to litigation involving Motorola Mobility LLC.

Trade-off of the Day: Revenue vs User Experience

Yahoo reported 2012 Q4 results that show a company stuck in a 15-year old trade-off between selling more annoying banner ads and improving user experience:
Display ad revenue excluding commissions to other websites in Q4 fell 5%, even though the amount advertisers were willing to pay for ads rose 7%, the company said in an earnings statement.

...the fall in Q4 was also at least partly an effect of Mayer's mission to improve the user experience on some Yahoo properties, including its home page, wrote Cowen and Co. analyst John Blackledge, who rates Yahoo as neutral. Fewer ad impressions in Q4 were "partially a result of an attempt to rein in site clutter and improve user experience," he said.
Yahoo's business model is bound by the Revenue vs Quality trade-off. In contrast, Google provides relevant text ads that improve user experience AND generate more revenue. The difference in business models creates a huge performance gap.


tags: tradeoff, business, internet, model, constraint, 

Monday, January 28, 2013

(BN) Israeli Troops Swap Guns for Computers as Cyber Attacks Rise

(Bloomberg ) At an army base outside Tel Aviv, soldiers sit in front of screens glued to scrolling colored computer code, keyboards at the ready to deflect attacks.

They're Israel's cyber defense team in training, among the uniformed men and women learning how to stalk hackers and pounce on virtual enemies as the state shields everything from ministry websites to the systems running the Tel Aviv stock market.

"To become one of the leading countries in cyber security, we have to act quickly to ensure that everyone will understand Israel is on its way to becoming a leading cyber-nation," Rami Efrati, head of the civilian division of the National Cyber Bureau, said in an interview at the year-old agency this month. "Cyber security can be a national growth engine."

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who expects to be tapped to form Israel's next ruling coalition later this week, has been channeling resources to the intensifying subterranean war through fiber optic cables between Israel and its enemies.

The Israeli leader has repeatedly pointed to Iran and its allies, warning of the threat of cyber-attacks last month. Iran in turn accused Israel and the U.S. of trying to sabotage its nuclear program in 2011, while last year a virus wreaked havoc with Iranian computer systems.

"Cyber has three dimensions: intelligence, defense and offense," said Amos Yadlin, the former military intelligence chief who now heads the Institute for National Security Studies at Tel Aviv University. "Anyone who deals with any one of the dimensions must understand the other two. You can't defend if you don't know how to attack."

Most Attacked

Israeli government networks are among the most highly attacked in the world, with daily assaults numbering in the tens of thousands, the Soufan Group, a New York-based security adviser, said in a Jan. 14 report.

Two months ago, civilian computer technicians sat in front of a bank of screens in a Jerusalem government building deflecting millions of attempted attacks on Israeli government websites as the country's air force struck the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip and rockets hit Israel's towns and cities.

Palestinian militants in Gaza consider cyber part of their resistance to Israel. "Our professional hackers never sleep," said the spokesman for a pro-Hamas group who goes by the name Abu Mujahid. Islamic Jihad, which like Hamas is considered a terrorist organization by Israel, the U.S. and the European Union, said in November its operatives hacked into 5,000 mobile phones belonging to senior Israeli army officers.

Israeli Hacker

On the other side, an Israeli hacker calling himself "Yourikan" published credit card numbers and expiration dates belonging to customers of the Palestinian Internet service provider Palnet, according to eSecurity Planet. Two months earlier, the Israeli defaced more than 90 Iranian sites, according to an interview he gave to Infosec Island, an online community for network professionals who manage security, risk and compliance issues.

"A virtual exchange of blows has been around in the Middle East for over a decade," said Gabi Weimann, a Haifa University professor who wrote "Terror on the Internet: The New Arena, The New Challenges."

The army's defense unit was established as the threats grow increasingly sophisticated and follows the founding of an offensive division in the intelligence corps that Soufan said is reportedly comparable to the American National Security Agency in technical expertise, if not in size.

Intelligence Funding

The military has increased the budget for the intelligence unit believed to be charged with cyber offense to 2 billion shekels ($537 million), the Ynet news site said in November. In October, Channel 2 television said the army wants to double the number of soldiers in the unit. The army declined to comment.

The National Cyber Bureau started operating as part of the Prime Minister's Office in January 2012, the same month the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and El Al Israel Airlines Ltd. were paralyzed by a Saudi hacker, who also published credit card information of thousands of Israelis on the Web.

It won't be long until cyber-attacks have the ability to determine a war, Tel Aviv University's Yadlin said at a seminar in September. "I can't say if it will be 10 years, 20 years, or less than that."

More needs to be done for Israel to be ready, said Erel Margalit, founder of the $900 million Jerusalem Venture Partners, which is investing in Israeli cyber-war technology start-ups.

"There is a new heightened awareness today and things need to go to the next level," said Margalit, who was elected to parliament last week for the opposition Labor Party.

High School Program

To achieve that, the bureau gave 50 million shekels to education projects and 80 million shekels to start-up companies working in computer security.

Netanyahu, at the inauguration of a civilian high school program run by the bureau in coordination with the military and a private fund last month, congratulated the chosen students as the country's "future interceptors." There are now 150 of them in training and Efrati said that will multiply this year. The tenth through twelfth-grade students are taught by former intelligence corps. soldiers who are expert in cyber.

"We see cyber-attacks and security as both a threat and an opportunity," Efrati said on Jan. 13, noting the high school program was given a four-year budget of several million shekels. "We need new people who know how to deal with cyber. Finding the right ones is like looking for a needle in a haystack."

Catch Virus

Daniella Shamrakov, a 16-year-old computer whiz picked for the program, looks forward to being drafted into an elite unit to defend her country, she said. She eventually wants to work for a high-technology company.

"The program intends to improve the quality of those dealing with cyber, boost their knowledge and increase the number of people who are cyber experts," said Lieutenant Colonel Saguy, the intelligence officer involved in the course who can only be identified by his first name.

Exercises include having the students create a virtual environment into which a virus is let loose. The students have to catch the virus, put in into what is called a sandbox and then watch and learn how it operates. Only the best will then be posted to Israel's cyber front, he said.

Technology Hub

Technology makes up almost half of industrial exports. Israel's economy depends on exports, which account for about 40 percent of the country's gross domestic product.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. (CHKP), the world's second- largest maker of security networks, looks for new software developers in the military programs, Chief Executive Officer Gil Shwed, a veteran of an elite intelligence unit, has said.

Cyber-Ark Software Ltd., another Israeli cyber-defense company, also locates top programmers in units that include the army's program for exceptional math and science students.

"We're always looking for a relative military advantage and technology is a way to do that," the commander of the C4-1 computer division, Lieutenant Colonel O, said in an interview at the Tel Aviv base. She can only be identified by the first letter of her first name and her rank due to security reasons.

One of about 20 soldiers currently in the course, whose name also can't be revealed in accordance with army regulation, said every hour he learns something new.

"The concept in Israel is that war still means dodging through a battlefield, but there is this new dimension developing at full speed," he said. Another student noted that in the virtual war, the assailant has the element of surprise that means "you have to think like he does, out-of-the box."

(BN) Cancer Researcher-Turned-Billionaire Starts New Company

(Bloomberg ) Patrick Soon-Shiong, the physician who founded and sold two drug companies to become Los Angeles's wealthiest resident, is starting a new company with the goal of changing the way cancer is attacked.

Called NantOmics, the company will build on the knowledge Soon-Shiong, 60, said he gained from Abraxane, the cancer treatment he developed and sold to Celgene Corp. (CELG) in 2010 for $2.9 billion. The medicine wraps a chemotherapy in a human protein called albumin that aims to more efficiently ferry cancer-killing agents to their target.

Celgene reported last week that the drug helped patients with advanced pancreatic cancer live a median 1.8 months longer than a standard treatment, a benefit for people battling one of the deadliest cancers. Soon-Shiong said he wants to extend that benefit by combining new diagnostic technologies and therapeutic strategies to improve care.

"It took 23 years from Abraxane being conceived to us showing now with conclusiveness that it works in pancreatic cancer," Soon-Shiong said by telephone. "We cannot afford as a society to wait another 23 years to make sure that the patients get the right care, at the right time, at the right place."

Since selling his company, Abraxis BioScience, to Summit, New Jersey-based Celgene in 2010, Soon-Shiong has branched into other endeavors. He bought a stake in the National Basketball Association's Los Angeles Lakers from star player Earvin "Magic" Johnson, and is pursuing the purchase of Anschutz Entertainment Group, owner of the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

Wealthiest Resident

Soon-Shiong was listed in May 2012 as the wealthiest Los Angeles resident by the Los Angeles Business Journal, topping businessman Eli Broad and director Steven Spielberg. Soon-Shiong has a net worth of $7.2 billion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Soon-Shiong's latest move returns him to his roots in medicine. NantOmics, funded primarily by Soon-Shiong's California Capital Equity fund, seeks to develop medicines called kinase inhibitors that target multiple proteins to combat cancer in combination with Abraxane and other drugs.

The strategy addresses the ideas that cancer spreads in reaction to attempts to kill it, and that it can mutate several times from when it first appears.

"What we discovered, counter-intuitively, is that when you start killing a cancer cell, one of the things it does in order to survive is to spread even further," Soon-Shiong said. "It causes itself to form new blood vessels. We've termed this reactionary angiogenesis."

Multiple Attacks

To combat that effect, Soon-Shiong and colleagues have tried combining Abraxane and chemotherapies with Roche Holding AG (ROG)'s Avastin, an anti-angiogenesis drug that tries to block the new blood vessels formed by tumors to feed themselves. The combination is designed to feed the tumor poison, starve it of its blood supply and prevent its spread.

They have treated 40 pancreatic cancer patients with the regimen, which combines 5-FU, or fluorouracil, a chemotherapy; cancer drugs leucovorin and oxaliplatin; Abraxane; and Avastin, Soon-Shiong said. An analysis of those cases showed 87 percent were alive at 12 months, with a median overall survival of 18 months, he said.

Forty patients is a small sample, and Soon-Shiong said it's important the theory be proved in larger studies across multiple sites run by multiple oncology organizations.

Native American

NantOmics will join another of Soon-Shiong's companies, called NantHealth, under the umbrella of a larger organization called NantWorks that brings together supercomputing, semiconductor technology, and advancements in voice and object recognition. The "Nant" name has its roots in Native American culture, in which "Nantan" means "he who speaks for the people," Soon-Shiong said.

The health firms will be "next-generation pharma companies" that use NantWorks technology to better track and profile patients' cancer and develop new treatments, he said.

Soon-Shiong's goal is to bring multiple new therapies into human testing this year and next year, based on concepts he has observed since developing Abraxane in the 1990s, he said.

"We realized that by driving more drug into the innards of the tumor, you would be able to kill the tumor faster than anybody could," said Soon-Shiong, who was on the faculty of the University of California Los Angeles's Medical School from 1983 until he left to pursue drug development. "If this was true, this would work for breast cancer, lung cancer, melanoma, bladder cancer, cervical cancer. That's what we set out to prove."

Now Approved

Abraxane is now approved for non small-cell lung cancer in addition to breast cancer, and Celgene said it plans to apply for approval in pancreatic cancer this year. The drug also is being tested in metastatic melanoma and other cancers.

Abraxane may become a blockbuster for Celgene, drawing $1.7 billion in peak worldwide sales, estimated Robyn Karnauskas, an analyst with Deutsche Bank. It drew $427 million in 2012 revenue.

Celgene's shares jumped 5.8 percent on Nov. 12 after the company reported that its pancreatic cancer trial had met study goals. The stock declined 1.3 percent to $98.51 at 11:36 a.m. New York time today. The shares had increased 36 percent in the 12 months through yesterday.

In advanced pancreatic cancer, Celgene tested Abraxane on top of the chemotherapy gemcitabine, and showed last week that the combination helped patients live a median of 8.5 months, compared with 6.7 months for gemcitabine alone.

One Year

In the 861-person trial, 35 percent of patients taking Abraxane plus gemcitabine lived to one year, compared with 22 percent on gemcitabine alone.

One patient treated with the Abraxane, Avastin and chemotherapy regimen is in remission more than six years after her diagnosis, beating the odds of the fourth-leading cause of cancer death in the U.S.

Diane Ronnau, a Los Angeles-based producer for the CBS Evening News, was a 44-year-old mother of two when her doctor found a mass on her pancreas. She had a complicated surgery and started chemotherapy, only for the cancer to return on her liver just more than a year later.

"It was the most frightening diagnosis ever," Ronnau said of being told she had pancreatic cancer. "I thought that I would not make it to see my children have their 10th birthday. You immediately start thinking, 'How much longer do I have?'"

51st Birthday

When her cancer returned, Ronnau's doctor added Abraxane to her regimen. After about six weeks, Ronnau said she saw signs of improvement. She continued the therapy for another three years, stopping last June before her 51st birthday.

Her doctors now see no evidence of cancer. While the drug took a toll on her white blood cell count, forcing her to take another medicine, she said she is now back to normal.

Soon-Shiong said his company will aim to apply the principles that may have helped Ronnau and add another strategy: addressing cancer's polyclonality, or its tendency to harbor multiple mutations simultaneously. He plans to use NantWorks' technology to screen patients' genomes to understand what form their cancer has taken, and develop multi-targeted kinase inhibitors to attack it.

The therapies will be targeted toward a cancer's underlying pathway rather than where it arises in the body, Soon-Shiong said, noting a breast cancer patient may benefit from a drug used in colon cancer, for example.

NantOmics has a library of kinase inhibitors to draw from that Soon-Shiong bought back from Celgene when he sold Abraxis, he said. The unit, called Abraxis Health, formed the basis of NantOmics and NantHealth.

Those companies may pursue initial public offerings "when the technology is ready," Soon-Shiong said.

"We're really going after truly creating sustainability of a disease-free state," Soon-Shiong said, "creating a complete system for managing cancer patients for life, so that you can manage from onset of disease all the way through."

(BN) Beijing Smog Prompts Car-Emissions Tightening

(Bloomberg ) Beijing, reeling from record air pollution, will tighten emissions criteria for new cars to match the strictest European Union standards, or so-called Euro V, starting Feb. 1.

The nation's capital, with about 20 million residents and more than 5 million vehicles, will be among China's first cities to require new vehicles to meet China V emissions standards to gain registration. Local rules vary across the world's biggest energy-consuming country, even as the central government pegs its targets to those of the EU.

The CHART OF THE DAY compares the percentage of cars nationwide that comply with different emissions guidelines, based on data compiled by the Ministry of Environmental Protection. About 5.7 percent of cars across the country met China IV or better emissions levels at the end of 2011, which Beijing implemented in March 2008. Almost half the nation's fleet met China III standards, which Beijing enforced from December 2005. The lower panel tracks benchmark retail gasoline prices in China's capital against the U.S. and U.K. national averages, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Raising emission standards "will surely help relieve the pollution in Beijing if consumers are willing to pay for the increase in costs," Lin Boqiang, director of the China Center for Energy Economics Research at Xiamen University, said by telephone. "Beijing is already trying its best, however weak the progress in rolling out the changes is."

Beijing proposed rules that would scrap old vehicles and impose fines for street vendors barbecuing food by roadsides on smoggy days after readings of PM2.5, the fine air particulates that raise risks for lung and heart diseases, reached a record 993 micrograms per cubic meter this month. The World Health Organization recommends 24-hour exposure to PM2.5 of no more than 25.

Cleaner standards will raise the cost of driving in China, which is already higher than in the U.S. Motorists in Beijing pay a maximum of $4.37 for each gallon of China III gasoline, compared with $3.315 on average for the regular retail grade in the U.S. in the week ended Jan. 21, according to data from the nations' governments.

(BN) Europe Clean-Energy Funding Beats U.S. on Wind Expansion

(Bloomberg ) Europe's development bank arranged the most loans for clean-energy projects last year, pushing ahead of the U.S. government as it financed some of the world's biggest offshore wind farms. 

The European Investment Bank loaned $2.16 billion for the industry in 2012 with 18 deals including funds for a wind farm in the Baltic Sea owned by EnBW Energie Baden-Wuerttemberg AG (EBK), according to an annual ranking by Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Brazil's state-lender was second, and the U.S. Federal Financing Bank, which led a year ago, dropped out of the top 20.

Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306) ranked third after banking crises in the U.S. and Europe dried up funds from commercial lenders worldwide. The biggest and third biggest financing deals of the year were for offshore wind farms.

"The EIB has played a vital role in financing large renewable energy projects in the last few years as commercial banks have been constrained by balance sheet pressures," said Angus McCrone, senior analyst for New Energy Finance.

The rankings by the London-based research group detail the companies most active in financing the renewable energy industry last year. Total investment dropped 11 percent to $268.7 billion for industry segments including wind, solar, biofuels and biomass power generation. Asset finance for utility-scale projects fell 17 percent to $148.6 billion.

Investment Plunge

Investment dropped as much as 32 percent in the U.S., 51 percent in Italy and 68 percent in Spain. That offset gains in China, which became the world's biggest clean energy investor last year, and in other developing nations.

In private equity and venture capital, HEAG SuedHessische Energie AG invested the most through its $355.7 million acquisition from EON SE of a stake in Suedgessische Energie, a utility based in Darmstadt, Germany, that develops wind, solar and bioenergy projects. Emerald Technology Ventures AG completed the most number of deals, followed by Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) led public market transactions in 2012, with Shanghai-based Guotai Junan Securities Co. in the second position.

Goldman completed three deals valued at $405.6 million including a share offering by Tesla Motors Corp. and the initial public offering of Solarcity Corp. (SCTY) Morgan Stanley (MS) dropped to the 13th spot after leading in 2011 and 2009. Goldman last led in 2010.

"Last year was a very disappointing one for public market investment in clean energy, with the total raised down 57 percent to $5.1 billion, the lowest since 2004," McCrone said. "But Goldman emerged as the lead manager for two of the most interesting issues of the year."


Failure rates in startups with funding above $1M

According to the Wall Street Journal (Sept 20, 2012):
...findings are based on data from more than 2,000 companies that received venture funding, generally at least $1 million, from 2004 through 2010.
About three-quarters of venture-backed firms in the U.S. don't return investors' capital, according to recent research by Shikhar Ghosh, a senior lecturer at Harvard Business School.
There are also different definitions of failure. If failure means liquidating all assets, with investors losing all their money, an estimated 30% to 40% of high potential U.S. start-ups fail, he says. If failure is defined as failing to see the projected return on investment—say, a specific revenue growth rate or date to break even on cash flow—then more than 95% of start-ups fail, based on Mr. Ghosh's research.
In part, startup incubators allow companies fail fast without getting a lot of VC money.

tags: business, technology, market, entrepreneurship, startup

Lunch Talk: (@Google) How NASA builds maps of Earh, Moon, Mars..

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/8wZalVOqVRI?list=UUbmNph6atAoGfqLoCL_duAg" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Description:
High-quality planetary maps and 3D terrain models have become essential for NASA to plan exploration missions and conduct science. This is particularly true for robotic missions to the Moon and Mars, where maps are used for site selection, traverse planning, and planetary science. This is also important for studies of climate change on Earth, where maps are used to track environmental change (such as polar ice movement).

In this talk, we will describe how the Intelligent Robotics Group
(http://irg.arc.nasa.gov) at NASA Ames builds highly accurate, large-scale planetary maps and 3D terrain models from orbital imagery using novel statistical stereographic and photometric techniques. Orbital imagery includes data captured by the Apollo missions, on-going NASA and international missions, and commercial providers (such as Digital Globe). The mapmaking software that we have developed (Vision Workbench, Ames Stereo Pipeline, Neo-Geography Toolkit) is available as open-source and is widely used by scientists and mission planners.

tags: lunchtalk, space, model, technology

(BN) Las Vegas UFO Aficionado Bets $500 Million on Space Hotel

(Bloomberg ) Robert Bigelow got rich off budget hotel suites that start at $189 a week. Now they are funding his dream of building inflatable space habitats with rates topping $400,000 a day.

For the Las Vegas businessman, his desire to build low orbital dwellings is the ultimate gamble. He has bet $500 million of his own money on his closely held venture, Bigelow Aerospace LLC -- five times what billionaire Elon Musk invested in his own space company.

"If you don't have bucks, there's no Buck Rogers," said Bigelow, 68, echoing a phrase from the film, "The Right Stuff," about the early days of the U.S. spaceflight program.

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration this month announced a $17.8 million contract to Bigelow Aerospace for an inflatable room that will be attached to a port on the International Space Station sometime in 2015. Astronauts will use the prototype for two years, allowing NASA to test the technology for "pennies on the dollar," said Lori Garver, the agency's deputy administrator.

Bigelow has spent about half of his stake. He may never recoup the investment, according to Jeff Foust, an analyst at Futron Corp., a Bethesda, Maryland-based technology consulting firm.

"Are there enough customers out there to make this a worthwhile venture?" Foust said. "It's yet to be seen."

Spare Room

NASA's award to Bigelow Aerospace means that the 3,000- pound inflatable spare room that uses a Kevlar-like fabric called Vectran will be tested to see how it withstands space debris and radiation.

The technology is based on an idea conceived in the 1990s by NASA, which let Bigelow license the patents, according to Mike Gold, director of Washington operations for Bigelow Aerospace. The company has taken the blueprints to fruition by building actual test structures, Gold said.

"He's a capitalist in every sense of the word," said Jay Ingham, a Bigelow vice president who previously worked for Raytheon Co. (RTN) "The guys who work hard and are big contributors do really well here."

NASA retired its shuttle fleet in 2011 and relies on Russia for rides to space at a cost of about $63 million per astronaut. It has turned to the private industry to ferry cargo and eventually humans to the station.

Boeing, SpaceX

Bigelow needs U.S. companies such as Boeing Co. (BA) and Musk's Space Exploration Technologies Corp., known as SpaceX, to develop lower-cost alternatives, Foust said. Otherwise, his private stations "literally won't get off the ground," he said.

SpaceX's first flight last year of an unmanned cargo ship to the International Space Station signaled the start of a new era in commercial spaceflight, Bigelow said.

Eventually, Bigelow intends to build stand-alone stations launched by privately operated rockets that can be used as research laboratories orbiting Earth or be part of an effort to establish a permanent presence on the moon or Mars. Although a permanent habitat won't be ready before 2016, his company is promoting a round-trip flight and 60-day stay aboard the "Alpha Station" for $26.3 million per customer.

Bigelow is a lesser known figure in the privately funded space race that has drawn high-risk adventurers such as Musk and British entrepreneur Richard Branson, whose Virgin Galactic is taking bookings online for $200,000 "Pioneer Astronaut" sub- orbital flights.

'Following A Dream'

"I guess it seems strange or unique to other people," he said. "To me, it's just following a dream that I have had all of my life of doing something important that was space- related."

The hotelier grew up in Las Vegas. During his first semester in college, his father died in a plane crash. He later graduated from Arizona State University with a bachelor's degree in business. He and his wife, Diane, raised two sons.

Bigelow has nursed a lifelong obsession with unidentified flying objects after his mother regaled him with the tale of his grandparents seeing a glowing flying object while driving through the desert in 1947.

He has amassed a library of about 3,500 books about UFOs, cosmology and related subjects. He gave financial backing to the National Institute for Discovery Science, which hunted UFOs and studied paranormal activities before disbanding in 2004. He has personally recorded interviews with almost 250 people who claim to have had a sighting or encounter with a UFO, and said he believes alien wreckage was discovered in Roswell, New Mexico, in the 1940s.

UFO Believer

"I'm in the camp that has zero doubt" that UFOs exist and have visited the Earth, Bigelow said in a phone interview.

Bigelow, who declines to discuss his net worth, made his fortune through a chain of residential hotels in the Southwest. He caught the real-estate bug from his maternal grandfather who leased several apartments on his property.

"I kind of, by osmosis, got the notion that you could make a good living off of that and have regular income, if you did the right things," he said. He said he sold about one-third of his Budget Suites of America properties before the recent recession. "People were just throwing money at you and begging you to sell," he said. "It became ridiculous."

James Oberg, a former mission control specialist for NASA and space consultant in Dickinson, Texas, who accompanied Bigelow to Russia in 2007 for the launch of a prototype habitat, said the hotelier has the passion to help shape the next generation of space travel.

'Own Style'

"Bigelow has his own style and his own passions," Oberg said in a telephone interview. "He struck me as a builder of things rather than a master and user of wealth and privilege."

On the ground, Bigelow is distinctly low-tech: he shuns e- mail. Visitors to his space venture's headquarters in North Las Vegas will notice that security guards refer to him as "Mr. Big."

Even if he completes his dreams on schedule, Bigelow will then be in his 70s, making it unlikely that the entrepreneur will ever make the trip out to his low-earth orbit habitat.

"This isn't about benefiting one human," Gold said. "This is about opening up space for all of humanity."


(BN) AbbVie, ‘Harbaugh Bowl,’ Subway, Verizon: Intellectual Property

(Bloomberg ) AbbVie Inc. (ABBV), the drug unit that split from parent Abbott Laboratories (ABT) on Jan. 1, sued Indian generic drug maker Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (SUNP) for infringing a U.S. patent for Zemplar, used to treat kidney patients.

AbbVie, based in North Chicago, Illinois, contends Mumbai- based Sun intends to market a low-cost version of the drug before patent 5,597,815 expires in 2016, according to papers filed Jan. 24 in federal court in Wilmington, Delaware.

"Plaintiffs will be substantially and irreparably damaged and harmed" if the infringement isn't stopped by a judge, AbbVie said in its complaint.

Abbott spun off AbbVie to let investors choose between a medical products company that makes devices, diagnostics and nutrition products, and AbbVie, a drugmaker based largely around Humira, a best-selling rheumatoid arthritis injection that generated $7.93 billion in 2011.

Uday Baldota, a Sun spokesman, didn't immediately respond to an e-mail seeking comment on the lawsuit.

The case is AbbVie v. Sun, 13-cv-00138, U.S. District Court, District of Delaware (Wilmington).

Trademark

NFL Harpoons 'Harbowl,' 'Harbaugh Bowl' Trademark Applications

An Indiana man who filed applications last year to register "Harbowl" and "Harbaugh Bowl" as U.S. trademarks said he abandoned his applications in response to pressure from the National Football League, ESPN reported.

Roy Fox of Pendleton, Indiana, filed his applications with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office in February 2012, in anticipation that the brothers Jim and Harbaugh, who, respectively, coach the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens, might go head to head at this year's Super Bowl game, according to ESPN.

He said he was contacted by the league even before the season started, and was told that the NFL feared the marks could be confused with its own, and that he had no affiliation with the Harbaugh brothers, whose teams are set to compete in the Feb. 3 Super Bowl, ESPN reported.

The applications are now abandoned, and Fox said that the league didn't respond to his requests to compensate him for the costs of filing the applications and for season tickets to the Indianapolis Colts games and an autographed photo of NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, according to ESPN.

Fake Nike, NFL, NBA Gear Found in Raids in New Orleans Suburb

A resident of the New Orleans suburb of Kenner was arrested for allegedly selling counterfeit Nike Inc. (NKE), National Basketball Association and National Football League gear, New Orleans Times-Picayune reported.

He was accused of selling fake goods at a flea market in Kenner after an undercover investigator bought what turned out to be a fake NFL jersey, according to the Times-Picayune.

Fake Nike, NFL, and NBA goods were also found in a raid at the seller's home, the Times-Picayune reported.

With the Super Bowl game set for Feb. 3 in New Orleans, the NFL typically ramps up trademark-enforcement efforts in the contending teams' home cities and the city that is the site of the game, according to the Times-Picayune.

Subway's Aussie Unit Says 'Footlong' Is Only a Trademark

Subway Restaurants' Subway Australia unit responded to complaints that its "Footlong" sandwiches may measure less than 12 inches by saying "Footlong" is only a trademark, "a descriptive name," ABC News reported.

Subway Australia said in a posting on its page on Facebook Inc.'s social media site that "Footlong" is "not intended to be a measurement of length," according to ABC News.

An Australian Subway customer posted a photo of his "Footlong" sandwich that was only 11 inches long to Subway Australia's Facebook page, with the note "subway pls respond," ABC News reported.

Subway said in a statement to ABC News that although the company is committed to supplying a consistent product, "length however may vary slightly when not baked to our exact specifications."

Copyright

UMG Fails to Win Dismissal of 'Dancing Baby' Copyright Suit

Universal Music Group's motion to dismiss a case brought by a mother over a video of her dancing toddler has been rejected by a federal court in San Jose, California.

Stephanie Lenz of Gallitzin, Pennsylvania, sued the music company in July 2007 after Google Inc.'s YouTube video-sharing site removed a video she posted. Universal had objected to Lenz's use of Prince's song "Let's Go Crazy" to accompany her brief piece showing her toddler dancing, and filed a takedown request under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act.

She claimed that copyright law's "fair use" provision permitted her use of the music.

In March 2012 the court ruled that Lenz -- who is being assisted by the San Francisco-based digital-rights group Electronic Frontier Foundation -- didn't file the suit in bad faith. Universal at that time had also asked for a dismissal of the case.

In a Jan. 24 ruling, U.S. District Judge Jeremy Fogel rejected the music company's request to dismiss the case. He said that Universal has failed to establish that Lenz is barred from collecting damages if she prevails in her claim that her use of the music fell within the boundaries of fair use.

He said, however, that she failed to demonstrate any damages based on the loss of YouTube's hosting services and the chilling of her free speech.

Lenz's 30-second video is presently available on YouTube.

The case is Lenz v. Universal Music Group Inc., 5:07- cv-03783-JF, U.S. District Court, Northern District of California (San Jose).

Unlocking Phone to Change Wireless Carriers Limited by U.S. Rule

Beginning Jan. 26, U.S. consumers were not to be allowed to unlock new mobile phones purchased from wireless providers, under a change in U.S. rules backed by carriers led by Verizon Wireless and AT&T Inc. (T)

The Library of Congress's Copyright Office, as part of a periodic review, said altering software to let one carrier's phones work on other networks wouldn't be among activities that expressly permitted under copyright law. The rule change was announced last October.

CTIA-The Wireless Association, with members including the four largest U.S. mobile carriers -- Verizon, AT&T, Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) and T-Mobile USA Inc. -- had argued that "locking cell phones is an essential part of the wireless industry's dominant business model" involving handset subsidies and contracts, Librarian of Congress James Billington said in the notice.

Consumers can still choose to buy unlocked phones that will work with multiple carriers, giving them an alternative, Billington said. Partly because of that possibility, unlocking newly purchased phones doesn't merit an exemption under copyright law, he said. Consumers who bought phones before the change can unlock their handsets, according to the rule change.

The new restriction represents a misuse of copyright law, Sherwin Siy, a vice president with the Washington-based policy group Public Knowledge, said in an interview.

The change removes legal protection that has allowed consumers to unlock their phones and doesn't explicitly make the act illegal, Mitch Stoltz, a staff attorney with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, a San Francisco-based advocacy group, said in an interview.

"You will not have this shield in the event you're sued," Stoltz said. "It may go to court some time, and then it will be up to a judge."

CTIA said in a filing with Library of Congress that subsidies "depend on ensuring that the handset will be used, as contemplated, with the carrier's service."

Circumventing barriers to unauthorized use "will have significant adverse effects on the wireless industry and on the public," the Washington-based trade group said in its February 2012 filing.

(BN) Acer Sees Success in Chrome PCs as Windows Fails to Drive Sales

(Bloomberg ) Acer Inc. (2353), the Taiwanese computer maker that's suffered two consecutive annual losses, posted strong sales of notebooks using Google Inc. (GOOG)'s Chrome platform after the release of Microsoft Corp. (MSFT)'s Windows 8 failed to ignite the market.

Chrome-based models accounted for 5 percent to 10 percent of Acer's U.S. shipments since being released there in November, President Jim Wong said in an interview at the Taipei-based company's headquarters. That ratio is expected to be sustainable in the long term and the company is considering offering Chrome models in other developed markets, he said.

Acer, which last week announced a NT$3.5 billion ($120 million) write-off on the value of its Gateway, Packard Bell and eMachines brands that pushed it into losses, is looking for alternatives as Windows-based computers struggle amid rising popularity of tablets and smartphones. Global computer industry shipments dropped 6.4 percent in the fourth quarter despite Microsoft's latest operating system being released during the period, according to IDC Corp.

"Windows 8 itself is still not successful," said Wong, whose company posted a 28 percent drop in fourth-quarter shipments from a year earlier. "The whole market didn't come back to growth after the Windows 8 launch, that's a simple way to judge if it is successful or not."

The success of Chrome, a free operating system developed by the world's largest search-engine provider, poses a challenge to Microsoft, which is struggling to convince users to buy the latest version of its platform which, according to researcher Net Market Share, comprises 92 percent of the global market.

Security

Windows 8, released in October, accounted for 1.7 percent of computers in use during December, compared with 45 percent for Windows 7 and 7.1 percent for Apple Inc.'s Mac systems, according to the Aliso Viejo, California-based researcher.

Chrome's "value is that it's more secure," Wong said. Early adopters have been more professional, heavy Internet users with educational institutions, and corporations are also likely to show interest in the operating system, he said.

"You saw that all the marketing and promotions were not as broad as Windows 8, so to reach this success is encouraging," Wong said. While Chrome has no license fee, Acer had to spend more money on marketing and promotions, offsetting the cost savings.

Acer will not release any Windows RT devices before the back-to-school season this summer, he said. Acer is still evaluating the platform, Microsoft's first tablet and PC system compatible with ARM Holdings Plc (ARM) chips, before deciding if it will offer a device.

Smartphones

Instead, Acer plans to build up its smartphone business, raising sales from 500,000 units in 2012 to 1.5 million this year and 5 million in 2014, he said. The company will target specific operators individually instead of trying to offer models across entire markets.

With NT$33.6 billion in cash at the end of September, compared with a current market value of NT$68 billion, Acer isn't interested in being bought out, Wong said. While the company has no plans to acquire other PC makers, it may consider purchases of technology companies, he said, after its 2011 acquisition of U.S. cloud-services provider iGware Inc.

Acer is rated sell by 15 of 31 analysts polled by Bloomberg, with 15 recommending hold and one suggesting investors buy. The stock is down 4.8 percent this year in Taipei, lagging a 0.4 percent drop in the benchmark Taiex index.

Acer's NT$3.5 billion writedown of intangible assets for last year comes after it posted a profit of NT$455 million in the nine months to Sept. 30. The writedown means it will post a full-year loss for 2012, Wong said.

(BN) Yahoo CEO Risks Losing Investor Faith Absent Growth Plan

(Bloomberg) Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) Chief Executive Officer Marissa Mayer, projected to report the first annual sales gain in four years today, is being urged by investors to explain how she'll build on that growth by luring users and advertisers.

The shares have surged 30 percent since Mayer was named CEO in July, reflecting confidence in her ability to engineer a turnaround after market-share losses slammed momentum at the largest U.S. Web portal.

Mayer, the fifth CEO in four years, is trying to catch up to Google Inc. (GOOG) and Facebook Inc. (FB) in display advertising and racing to improve a search partnership with Microsoft Corp. that hasn't met revenue expectations. Her changes so far -- an e-mail redesign and an overhaul of the Flickr photo-sharing service -- don't offer a strategy for expansions in search or mobile technology, the company's biggest growth opportunities, said Brian Wieser, an analyst at Pivotal Research Group LLC.

"Some of the rise has occurred because there are people who have bought into Marissa Mayer driving growth potential -- just on her alone," said Wieser, who has a hold rating on the shares. "I'm not clear on what it is she wants to do."

After the close of U.S. markets today, Yahoo will probably report a 6 percent gain in fourth-quarter net income, to $324.7 million, according to the average of analysts' estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales, minus revenue passed on to partner sites, is predicted to increase 3 percent to $1.21 billion in the quarter. A projected annual sales rise of 2 percent to $4.46 billion would be the first increase since 2008.

Mobile Technology

In a sign that some investors aren't persuaded that Yahoo can close the gap with Google, Yahoo is trading at a 17 percent discount to the Web-search leader on a price-to-earnings basis, wider than the 4 percent gap when Mayer took the helm July 17.

Yahoo is working on technology that will personalize content from the Web and feed it to people on their mobile devices, Mayer said in an interview with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. User data will make it possible to create a so-called interest graph to show connections among people and create a personalized Internet experience, she said.

"With the Web becoming so vast, there's so much content and there's so much social context, and now with mobile, there's so much location context and activity context," Mayer said. "How do you pull all that together?"

Mayer still needs to explain how she plans to profit from the surging portion of users who access Yahoo on tablets and smartphones, Colin Gillis, an analyst at BGC Partners LP, said in an interview.

'Lackluster Presence'

"They have a lackluster mobile presence," Gillis said. "She is going to try to deliver a better experience for Yahoo users. Just make sure that experience is better tailored to mobile."

Since Mayer arrived, Yahoo has continued to cede share in its core business, display advertising. Yahoo's portion of the U.S. market was 9.3 percent last year, down from 11 percent in 2011, according to researcher EMarketer Inc. Google's stake rose about 2 percentage points to 15 percent, while Facebook commanded 14 percent.

Google will retain its lead in the U.S. display-advertising market this year with an 18 percent share, while Facebook will have 15 percent and Yahoo will slip to 8 percent, EMarketer estimates.

To some extent, Yahoo's fortunes are waning in tandem with the personal-computer industry. Yahoo, once the dominant choice for e-mail and search tools when consumers surfed the Web on desktops, has failed to adapt to a new era where many users rely exclusively on smartphones and tablets.

Mobile Apps

Google and Facebook have been more nimble at catering to consumers' appetite for mobile apps that work seamlessly with Web-based services, Gillis said.

"If I'm using Yahoo Finance for my stock quotes, don't make me go find a new app to fill that void on my phone," Gillis said. "Because once you do that, you've lost a user."

Mayer also needs to court advertisers. She should invest more heavily in tools that help target promotions to consumers based on their Web browsing history, a practice known as real- time bidding, said Wieser. Yahoo could expand its current bidding system, Right Media, or acquire a startup in the field, he said.

'Well Positioned'

"They are really well positioned because they can provide real-time data to advertisers, who can then pinpoint ads to people who are interested in their products," said Kevin Stadtler, president of Stadtler Capital Management LLC, which has $7.2 million in assets, including Yahoo shares. "That's a really big deal. We want an update on their strategy to sell that real-time data."

Amid looming questions about how Mayer will win consumers and advertisers, she helped build support among investors with plans to return $3 billion -- most of the proceeds from selling half of Yahoo's stake in Chinese partner Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. --to shareholders through buybacks. Yahoo had about $8.5 billion in cash and short-term investments as of Sept. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Analysts including Pivotal's Wieser and Mark Mahaney of RBC Capital Markets expect Yahoo to provide an outlook for sales and operating income today, a practice the company suspended last quarter because of the recent arrival of Mayer and her newly appointed chief financial officer, Ken Goldman.

Mayer's Partnerships

While investors and analysts grow impatient with Mayer for not specifying possible areas of growth, the CEO has helped rule out some businesses where she does not think Yahoo can compete. During the interview last week in Davos, Mayer said she prefers to partner with large companies like Apple Inc. (AAPL) rather than build expensive new products such as phones and social networks.

"We work with Apple and Google in terms of the operating system," Mayer said. "In terms of social network, we have a strong partnership with Facebook. We are able to work with some of these players, who have a lot of strength, in order to really bolster our user experiences that we offer on the Yahoo site."

Saturday, January 26, 2013

(BN) Twitter Is Said to Be Worth $9 Billion as BlackRock Buys Shares

(Bloomberg) Twitter Inc. was valued at about $9 billion after early employees sold $80 million in shares to a fund managed by BlackRock Inc. (BLK), three people with knowledge of the matter said.

The sales were overseen by Twitter Chief Operating Officer Ali Rowghani, said one of the people yesterday, who asked not to be identified because the transactions were private.

Twitter is helping early shareholders realize part of the value of their holdings while letting select investors obtain equity in the fast-growing Internet company before it holds an initial public offering. The deal with BlackRock, the largest money manager, marks an increase in the blog-site's value since 2011, when an investment led by DST Global valued Twitter at $8 billion, people with knowledge of the plan said then.

Farrell Denby, a spokesman for New York-based BlackRock, declined to comment yesterday, as did Gabriel Stricker, a spokesman for San Francisco-based Twitter.

Rowghani, who was promoted from the role of finance chief last month, has taken an active role in lining up buyers for shares, according to the person with knowledge of the matter. In doing so, he may seek to limit pressure on Twitter's valuation that could result from employees dumping a large amount of stock after post-IPO "lockups" on their shares are lifted. A tighter rein on who holds stock can also limit the amount of inside information circulated ahead of an IPO.

The close involvement of Twitter in private-share sales is a shift from the freewheeling marketplace for shares of Facebook Inc. that arose before the social network's 2012 public offering.

Confidential Data

On websites such as SecondMarket Inc. and SharesPost Inc., Facebook shares were traded freely among employees and investors with little intervention from the company -- often resulting in the exchange of confidential data about its financials and daily projections on its valuation that loomed over the IPO.

By contrast, Rowghani and his team have turned away many potential buyers and limited access to Twitter's financials to a select few investors, a person said.

Twitter, founded in 2006, has sought to limit private-share sales in the past. In 2011, the company asked shareholders to refrain from selling on Web exchanges, two people said at the time.

The company allocated half of its $800 million investment from DST for buying shares back from employees and investors, people said at the time. Twitter hasn't disclosed plans for a public-market debut, though Rowghani's promotion was a possible precursor to an eventual IPO filing.

(BN) Unlocking Phone to Change Wireless Carrier Curbed by U.S.

(Bloomberg) Starting today, U.S. consumers won't be allowed to unlock new mobile phones purchased from wireless providers, under a change in U.S. rules backed by carriers led by Verizon Wireless and AT&T Inc. (T)

The Library of Congress's Copyright Office, as part of a periodic review, said altering software to let one carrier's phones work on other networks won't be among activities that are expressly permitted under copyright law. The rule change was announced last October.

CTIA-The Wireless Association, with members including the four largest U.S. mobile carriers -- Verizon, AT&T, Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) and T-Mobile USA Inc. -- had argued that "locking cell phones is an essential part of the wireless industry's dominant business model" involving handset subsidies and contracts, Librarian of Congress James Billington said in the notice.

Consumers can still choose to buy unlocked phones that will work with multiple carriers, giving them an alternative, Billington said. Partly because of that possibility, unlocking newly purchased phones doesn't merit an exemption under copyright law, he said. Consumers who bought phones before the change can unlock their handsets, according to the rule change.

The new restriction represents a misuse of copyright law, Sherwin Siy, a vice president with the Washington-based policy group Public Knowledge, said in an interview.

"It wasn't made to make it harder for people to switch phone companies," Siy said.

Legal Protection

The change removes legal protection that has allowed consumers to unlock their phones and doesn't explicitly make the act illegal, Mitch Stoltz, a staff attorney with the Electronic Frontier Foundation, a San Francisco-based advocacy group, said in an interview.

"You will not have this shield in the event you're sued," Stoltz said. "It may go to court some time, and then it will be up to a judge."

CTIA said in a filing with Library of Congress that subsidies "depend on ensuring that the handset will be used, as contemplated, with the carrier's service."

Circumventing barriers to unauthorized use "will have significant adverse effects on the wireless industry and on the public," the Washington-based trade group said in its February 2012 filing.

Most VC funds are no better than Russell 2000 index

The Kaufmann Foundation published an analysis of its VC investments. 65% of VC funds performed worse than their closest Public Market Equivalent (PME) - the Russell 2000 index (stock ticker - IWM)



The blind belief in the Risk vs Reward trade-off doesn't work. By taking more risks, foundations don't generate higher long-term returns.

tags: innovation, tradeoff, problem, startup, VC, economics

(BN) Singapore Hunts for New Zuckerberg With Stanford-Style Dorm

As National University of Singapore students drifted to the college bar for Wednesday's "Ladies Night," Ishan Agrawal sat in his dorm's common room, working out how to harness the Internet to fight corruption in India.

Agrawal, 22, is one of 90 hand-picked students at N-House, a residential block modeled after the dorms of California's Stanford University that housed Google Inc.'s Larry Page and Yahoo! Inc. co-founder Jerry Yang. Their Wednesday evenings brainstorming new ideas or pitching to potential investors are part of a S$16 billion ($13.1 billion) effort by Singapore's government to build a tropical Silicon Valley.

"It's like a big dating party, bringing everyone together, which is what Silicon Valley does," said Agrawal, from Dehradun in northern India, who interned for a year at a startup in the San Francisco Bay area and took classes at Stanford as part of the program. "Here, you sit in the kitchen and discuss entrepreneurship ideas. You discuss entrepreneurship in the bathroom."

Singapore became Southeast Asia's only advanced economy by moving up the technology ladder, turning a trading port into the region's biggest banking center and a manufacturer of electronics, petrochemicals and pharmaceuticals. Now, the nation is looking to gain a bigger share of a software industry that raised $28 billion in initial share sales last year.

N-House, which opened in August 2011, is one strand of a five-year plan by the government that includes offering new technology companies grants of as much as S$500,000, supporting venture capital funds, and encouraging high schools to teach business and entrepreneurial skills, in an effort to groom the next Mark Zuckerberg, co-founder of Facebook Inc.

'Something Different'

"Singapore looks quite favorable," said Josh Lerner, a Harvard Business School professor who has written about efforts to boost entrepreneurship. "If a program doesn't work, they've been willing to abandon it or fine-tune it and try something different."

So far, successes have been few. Standard-bearer for the program is Darius Cheung, 31, who sold his first company, a security program that protects mobile phone data, to McAfee Inc. for more than $10 million in 2010.

His latest company, BillPin, is among more than 100 located in a refurbished public housing block called Blk71 funded by the government and Singapore Telecommunications Ltd. (ST), the nation's largest telecoms company. BillPin allows users to divide shared expenses like rent and bar tabs via an Internet account.

Free Advice

Blk71 companies get subsidized office space and free legal and accounting advice. They share office space with Edgar Hardless, chief executive officer of Singtel's S$200 million venture fund, which backs mobile-related startups. More than 90 percent of the tenants are developing Internet-based software and mobile apps, said Lily Chan, chief executive officer of NUS Enterprise, who helped develop N-House and Blk71.

Singapore is "a relatively good place to be doing a tech startup," said Cheung. "The talent pool, the capital -- it's a lot more available than when we first started."

With more Internet-connected mobile phones and residential broadband subscribers than households, the island makes an excellent test-bed, said Andrew Roth, who relocated to Singapore in 2011 from Hawaii. His Perx application, designed to replace store loyalty cards, is backed by Facebook co-founder Eduardo Saverin, who moved to Singapore in 2009 and renounced U.S. citizenship last year.

Saverin, now a permanent resident of Singapore, introduced the startup to Singtel, Roth said, leading to a partnership announced in October where the telecoms company bundles the program with other apps.

Getting Out

While Singapore's level of development helps test new programs, some companies find its size limiting.

"One of the targets we set was to be out of Singapore within six months," said Vincent Ha, who moved his company Gushcloud to California. The program gets social media users to help retailers advertise in exchange for store discounts and benefits.

"We thought we knew everything, but when we went to Silicon Valley we realized that there are thousands more trying to solve the same problem," he said.

While revenue from Singapore's information-communications industry has more than doubled to S$83.4 billion between 2001 and 2011, the share of revenue from software has slipped to 14 percent from 25 percent, according to the government's Infocomm Development Authority.

Singapore has spent S$50 million on about 140 technology projects over the past four years through a grant program that offers companies up to S$500,000, according to Teo Ser Luck, minister of state for Trade and Industry. Six out of 10 companies that completed their projects were able to secure initial customers or follow-on funding, or both, said Teo, who also chairs the Action Community for Entrepreneurship, or ACE.

Conscious Choice

"There are more jobs than workers, so there are many who need to be encouraged to make a conscious choice to be an entrepreneur," he said in an e-mail. "We are breeding a group of young entrepreneurs who are open to and embrace technology."

ACE has approved 37 applications for its smallest business grant, S$50,000, since last February, Teo said.

"We're pretty liberal about approving them," said Billpin's Cheung, who sits on the grant committee. "Relative to any other country, Singapore is definitely right there at the top in terms of how easy it is to get initial capital."

That may be a drawback, according to Palo Alto, California- based venture capitalist Adeo Ressi, whose Founder Institute helps startups in 37 cities, including Singapore.

'Best Job'

"Singapore has done the best job of any government to spawn an entrepreneurial ecosystem," said Ressi, who travels to the city about three times a year to meet with government officials. "However, I think they've gone a little bit too far in making it easy. If they can't actually raise money from people privately, they probably aren't worthy of being in existence."

The island of 5 million people, ranked the easiest place to do business for seven straight years by the World Bank, is the second-easiest place in Asia after Hong Kong for entrepreneurs to gain access to capital, according to a study by the Milken Institute published in 2010.

Singapore's program is partly modeled on the success of Israel. In 2008, when Singapore's President Tony Tan was chairman of the National Research Foundation, he flew to Tel Aviv to learn how the Mediterranean country had spawned Internet innovations like instant messaging and software firewalls.

Private Funding

In Israel "the presumption was within a couple of years, you were basically supposed to get funding from the private sector and off you go," said Augusto Lopez-Claros, the World Bank's director of global indicators and analysis, who has written about Israel's innovation programs.

Singapore chose a middle route, continuing funding of chosen startups as long as they also are able to get capital from private investors.

Other Asian nations also are trying to foster startups. Taiwan's National Youth Commission lent a record NT$2.1 billion ($72 million) to 2,661 young entrepreneurs in 2011, according to the agency's website. In contrast, China and India, the region's biggest economies, spawned global software companies such as Baidu Inc. and Infosys Technologies Ltd. with little initial financial backing from the government.

Facebook, which evolved from a dorm-room project when Zuckerberg was at Harvard University in Cambridge, Massachusetts, raised $16 billion in an initial share sale in May 2012.

Changing Model

Targeting home-grown startups is a departure for Singapore's five-decade-old economic policy of attracting global companies such as Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) to set up plants and offices in the city-state.

Information and communications makes up 4 percent of the nation's gross domestic product, compared with 21 percent from manufacturing and 26 percent from finance, insurance and business services. The government aims to foster five local enterprises with annual revenue of more than S$1 billion, according to a research paper by the Ministry of Trade and Industry.

"We will continue with our strategy of foreign direct investment," said Low Teck Seng, chief executive officer of the National Research Foundation, the country's research and development body which works out of Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong's office. "At the same time, if our innovation and enterprise efforts are successful, there will be a pipeline of companies that grow."

Trying to move the country to productivity-driven industries from labor-driven ones will take time, said Euben Paracuelles, a Singapore-based economist at Nomura Holdings Inc.

"It's going to take a while to show up in the economic numbers but this is probably the right path," said Paracuelles. "There's going to be a transition period."

Supporting Research

The prime minister said the government would spend S$16.1 billion to support research, innovation and enterprise over the five years to 2015. The city-state plans to raise research and development spending to 3.5 percent of gross domestic product by 2015, similar to Sweden and South Korea, from 2.3 percent.

To achieve the goal, Singapore will have to change its culture, according to Chan at NUS. The island came in last among 20 entrepreneurial hubs, including Silicon Valley and Bangalore, in terms of having the right mindset, according to a global survey of 50,000 startups by Startup Genome and Telefonica SA. (TEF)

While Silicon Valley has it, "it's taken them 30 years to get to where they are today," said Chan, a former managing director at one of the Singapore Economic Development Board's investment wings. "We don't have it in Singapore. Once you have that, the government policies can pull it all together. So we have to engineer that culture."

To help the change, the government said in November it would spend S$15 million over the next three years in the nation's schools to encourage potential entrepreneurs, including visits by executives, on-site incubators, internships and S$10,000 student grants.

"No one forces us to work on ideas or create companies or anything," said Agrawal at N-House. "It's more like if there's a nerd group they are going to talk about these kinds of things, so it comes very naturally to all of us."

(BN) BMW to Build Sports Car With Toyota in Deeper Partnership

(Bloomberg ) Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW), the world's biggest maker of luxury vehicles, will work with Toyota Motor Corp. (7203) to produce a midsize sports car, expanding their cooperation amid industry efforts to limit development costs.

BMW and Toyota, the world's largest automaker, will also set up partnerships to create fuel-cell systems, lightweight materials and lithium-air batteries, the companies said today. The two began collaborating in 2011 on lithium-ion batteries and other fuel-saving projects.

Automakers have been setting up technology development deals to share spending on vehicles and recoup investments quicker as parts are used in more models. General Motors Co. (GM) and PSA Peugeot Citroen (UG) today outlined their compact-model development strategy as part of a year-old partnership aimed at restoring earnings in a shrinking European market.

"These technologies are expensive, so I think you'll see more of these in the future as a way to share costs," Stephen Girsky, GM's interim European chief, said in an interview in Brussels. "It's all about which companies can work together. As the cost of technology keeps going up, we're going to look for ways to offset the costs and share risks."

Daimler AG (DAI) has teamed up with Renault SA (RNO) to refresh its Smart small-car brand, while BMW's Mini brand shares gasoline engines with Peugeot. Fiat SpA (F) last week announced a final deal to build a new Alfa Romeo roadster with Mazda Motor Corp. (7261) Paris- based Peugeot, Europe's second-biggest carmaker, and Detroit- based GM said today that a parts-purchasing venture they're setting up in the region has won antitrust clearance.

Teaming Up

Wolfsburg, Germany-based Volkswagen AG (VOW), Europe's biggest carmaker, and Ford Motor Co. (F) are the only producers among the region's Top 10 that don't have large-scale cooperation agreements on technology or models.

Toyota's collaboration with BMW allows the Toyota City, Japan-based carmaker to expand its European lineup of diesel- powered vehicles. The partnership enables BMW to work with the world's biggest producer of hybrid vehicles as the German company develops alternative powering systems while fending off efforts by VW's Audi division to take the global lead in luxury- car sales.

"The cooperation between BMW and Toyota is very promising," Juergen Pieper, a Frankfurt-based analyst with Bankhaus Metzler, said by phone. "The two companies are working together from a position of strength, and doing so as a matter of choice rather than pressure. The Peugeot-Opel partnership has more the tone of an emergency alliance."

Taking Lead

Peugeot will develop three platforms, or the chassis and major parts, for subcompact and compact models that the French carmaker and its U.S. partner will produce and sell separately, Chief Executive Officer Philippe Varin said today at a press conference in Brussels. The companies "have nothing to announce" about any joint car manufacturing, Girsky said at the briefing.

Peugeot posted an 819 million-euro ($1.09 billion) net loss in the first half, and it's closing a factory and cutting 17 percent of its French workforce. GM's European division has racked up $17.3 billion in losses since 1999, and it's looking at accelerating plans to shutter a factory in Germany in response to the regional car market contraction.

The Peugeot-GM alliance is targeted at yielding a combined $2 billion in cost savings and sales improvements over five years, Varin estimated in December. The joint parts-purchasing venture will be a "cornerstone" of the partnership, Girsky said today.

Powertrain Talks

BMW talks to work with Toyota on electric powertrains are continuing, Mathias Schmidt, a BMW spokesman, said by phone. The German carmaker dissolved a joint venture to develop electric powertrains with Peugeot last year after GM took a 7 percent stake in the French company as their alliance formed.

Toyota is aiming for a joint project in the development of battery-powered cars, Yasumori Ihara, a senior managing officer, said today at a Tokyo press conference. BMW will supply Toyota with 1.6-liter and 2-liter engines for the Japanese company's models in Europe starting in 2014.

Under its new "i" sub-brand, BMW plans to introduce its first electric-powered model, the i3 city car, later this year. The vehicle will be followed by the i8 plug-in hybrid sports car, which is scheduled to go on sale in 2014.

"In light of the technological changes ahead, the entire automotive industry faces tremendous challenges, which we also regard as an opportunity," BMW Chief Executive Officer Norbert Reithofer said in a statement. "This collaboration is an important building block in keeping both companies on a successful course in the future."

(BN) Ernie Ball, ‘Kaepernicking,’ MGA: Intellectual Property

(Bloomberg ) Ernie Ball Inc., musical instruments maker, lost its patent-infringement case against a developer of tuning systems for string instruments.

The San Luis Obispo, California-based company sued Earvana LLC for patent infringement in federal court in Riverside, California, in April 2006, claiming its patent 6,433,264 was infringed. The patent covered a device for a string instrument that helps govern the pitch of the strings.

In January 2011 the trial court found that Earvana had infringed the patent, awarded Ernie Ball $165,000 in damages, and ordered the Paso Robles, California-based defendant to halt activities that infringed the patent.

Earvana then filed an appeal to the Washington-based appellate court that hears patent cases.

The appeals court reversed the infringement verdict yesterday, saying that the patent was invalid. The claims the patent asserted were so vague that they failed on the grounds patent law calls indefiniteness, the court said.

The lower court case is Ernie Ball Inc. v. Earvana, 5:06- cv-00384-JNH-OP, U.S. District Court, Central District of California (Riverside). The appellate case is Ernie Ball v. Earvana, 12-01276, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (Washington).

Trademark

Kaepernick Follows Tebow's Lead, Seeks 'Kaepernicking' Trademark

Colin Kaepernick, the San Francisco 49er's quarterback who threw four touchdown passes in the National Football League playoff game against the New England Patriots, has filed an application to register a trademark, according to the database of the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office.

He's seeking to register "Kaepernicking" as a trademark. The term has been used to describe the player's victory- celebration practice of flexing his pass-throwing arm and kissing his bicep.

According to the application Kaepernick filed Jan. 14, he plans to use the mark on t-shirts. In seeking the trademark, Kaepernick is following the lead of New York Jets quarterback Tim Tebow, who registered "Tebowing" as a trademark Dec. 25 last year.

That word came about because Tebow, a devout Christian, has the practice of kneeling in prayer at the end of a game. The patent office rejected some applications for "Tebowing" filed by others because the applicants lacked the player's permission for the use of his name, according to patent office documents.

Kaepernick will lead the 49ers against the Baltimore Ravens in the 2013 National Football League Super Bowl in New Orleans Feb. 3.

News Corp. Wins Dismissal of Religious Broadcaster's Suit

News Corp. (NWSA)'s Fox Television Studios unit didn't infringe a trademark held by a developer of religious television programming, a federal court in Iowa has ruled.

Louis Scorpiniti of Des Moines, Iowa, sued Fox in federal court in Cedar Rapids May 2011, claiming that his "The Gate" trademark was infringed by a Fox television series, "The Gates." He claimed that his business opportunities to exploit his mark and expand his broadcast offerings were harmed when potential investors learned of the Fox series.

He also alleged that the public was likely to be confused by the name similarity and that his business reputation was harmed.

In her Jan. 23 order, U.S. District Judge Linda R. Reade said Scorpiniti's mark was weak. He failed to demonstrate any actual evidence of consumer confusion, she said, adding that in any case, the parties' businesses were sufficiently different that the public could distinguish them.

Reade took exception to evidence Scorpiniti presented to advance his claim of customer confusion, saying "statements by Scorpiniti's former girlfriend and the unidentified man at the bar are hearsay."

She also rejected his request for damages.

The case is Scorpiniti v. Fox Television Studios Inc., 1- 11-cv-00064-LRR, U.S. District Court, Northern District of Iowa (Cedar Rapids).

Copyright

'Spider-Man' Producers, Taymor Reach Settlement, Lawyer Says

The producers of the Broadway musical "Spider-Man: Turn Off the Dark" settled a lawsuit brought by the show's fired director, Julie Taymor, two weeks after a judge set a May 27 trial date, a lawyer for Taymor said.

U.S. District Judge Katherine Forrest in New York, who is presiding over the case, on Jan. 10 restored the case to her active court calendar, saying that while both sides told her in August they had agreed to a tentative settlement over royalties and creative control, they hadn't completed it.

"The parties have now reached an agreement on terms to settle the above litigation and have a fully drafted settlement agreement that the parties are ready to execute," Charles T. Spada, a lawyer for Taymor, wrote to Forrest in a Jan. 22 letter made public the following day.

Spada didn't immediately return a voice-mail message left at his office seeking comment on the settlement. Dale Cendali, a lawyer for the show's producers, 8 Legged Productions, didn't immediately return a call seeking comment.

Taymor was removed from the $75 million show in March 2011, after critics lambasted it during an extended 182-performance preview period. She sued the producers in November 2011, saying they violated her intellectual-property rights by making changes without her permission and didn't pay royalties due her as a co- book writer.

In 2003, producers began negotiating with Marvel Entertainment, a unit of The Walt Disney Co. (DIS) that owns the rights to the character, about staging "Spider-Man" on Broadway, according to Taymor's suit.

The original producing team asked Bono and The Edge of the band U2 to write a score and Taymor to direct. In 2004, she wrote a three-page treatment for the show and the following year she registered it with the U.S. Copyright Office, according to her suit.

In her complaint, Taymor said that as the musical's co- author she was owed guaranteed minimum royalties of $2,917.50 a week. The producers agreed in February to pay her director's royalties as part of a settlement with the Stage Directors and Choreographers Society.

In his letter to the court, Spada said the settlement had been conditional upon 8 Legged Productions and non-party Marvel Entertainment entering into a separate agreement to amend 8 Legged's license to produce the Spider-Man musical.

The case is Taymor v. 8 Legged Productions LLC, 11-cv- 08002, U.S. District Court, Southern District of New York (Manhattan).

Trade Secrets/Industrial Espionage

MGA's Bratz Trade Secret Win Over Mattel Erased on Appeal

MGA Entertainment Inc.'s $162.5 million victory over rival toymaker Mattel Inc. (MAT) for theft of trade secrets was thrown out by a federal appeals court that said the counterclaims shouldn't have been allowed to go to the jury.

The three-judge panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals in San Francisco in a ruling yesterday upheld the trial judge's decision to award closely held MGA $137.2 million for having to defend against Mattel's claims that MGA's Bratz dolls infringed Mattel's copyrights.

"At one point, a copyright defendant had to show that the plaintiff's claim was frivolous or made in bad faith in order to be entitled to fees; but no longer," the panel said. "Even assuming Mattel's claim was objectively reasonable, the district court didn't abuse its discretion in awarding MGA fees."

It was the second time the three judges reversed the outcome of a trial in the eight-year battle between Mattel, the maker of Barbie, and MGA, which Mattel accused of stealing the idea for its Bratz dolls. In 2010, the panel reversed a trial judge's ruling that had given Mattel almost complete ownership of MGA's Bratz brand.

Mattel at the second trial in Santa Ana, California, lost on its copyright infringement claim, a result that it didn't contest on appeal. The toymaker appealed U.S. District Judge David Carter's decision to allow MGA to bring counterclaims in the case that Mattel said were unrelated to the underlying lawsuit.

The trial jury awarded MGA $88.5 million in damages on its claims that Mattel employees used fake business cards to get access to MGA's booths at toy fairs and obtain MGA's trade secrets. The judge later reduced the verdict to $85 million and then doubled it by adding $85 million in punitive damages.

The appellate panel agreed with Mattel that MGA's counterclaims weren't "compulsory" in that they weren't based on the same underlying facts as Mattel's trade secret-theft claims against MGA. As such, the judge had erred by allowing MGA's claims to be part of the case, the panel said.

"That both Mattel and MGA claimed they stole each other's trade secrets isn't enough to render MGA's counterclaim compulsory," the panel said. "What matters is not the legal theory but the facts."

Lisa Marie Bongiovanni, a spokeswoman for El Segundo, California-based Mattel, and Susan Hale, a spokeswoman for Van Nuys, California-based MGA, didn't immediately respond to e- mailed requests for comment on the ruling.

The case is Mattel Inc. v. MGA Entertainment Inc., 11- 56357, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit (San Francisco).


(BN) Yahoo’s Mayer Sees Future in Personalized, Mobile Web

(Bloomberg) Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) Chief Executive Officer Marissa Mayer said the company is working on technology that will personalize content from the Web and feed it to people on their mobile devices.

Users' data will make it possible to create a so-called interest graph to show commonalities among people and create a personalized Internet, Mayer said in an on-stage interview with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. The data ought to be owned by the users, who should be able to move their information between platforms, she said.

Mayer has invested in wireless technology as she attempts to win users and advertising revenue from Facebook Inc. (FB) and her former employer, Google Inc. (GOOG) Since becoming CEO last July, she has updated Yahoo's Flickr application for photos, acquired mobile app startup Stamped and announced plans to hire engineers with expertise in smartphones and tablets.

"With the Web becoming so vast, there's so much content and there's so much social context, and now with mobile, there's so much location context and activity context," Mayer said. "How do you pull all that together?" Yahoo's answer will be "a feed of information that is ordered, the Web is ordered for you and is also on your mobile phone."

Mayer, Yahoo's fifth CEO in four years, aims to reverse three straight annual sales declines as Web users flocked to Facebook and Google. Since she was hired in July, shares of the Sunnyvale, California-based company have climbed about 30 percent.

Mayer has made the recruitment and retention of talent a priority. She has filled out her management bench with Chief Operating Officer Henrique de Castro and Chief Financial Officer Ken Goldman, and sought to acquire small technology startups for their experienced engineers.