Thursday, December 08, 2011

Lunch Talk: Philip Tetlock on the fallability of experts.

Philip Tetlock is the Mitchell Professor of Leadership at the University of California, Berkeley. His current research areas and interests include the following: * Learning from experience: How do experts think about possible pasts (historical counterfactuals) and probable futures (conditional forecasts)? And how do experts respond to confirmation/disconfirmation of expectations?

tags:lunchtalk, forecast, knowledge

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