I use this blog to gather information and thoughts about invention and innovation, the subjects I've been teaching at Stanford University Continuing Studies Program since 2005.
The current course is Principles of Invention and Innovation (Summer '17).
Our book "Scalable Innovation" is now available on Amazon http://www.amazon.com/Scalable-Innovation-Inventors-Entrepreneurs-Professionals/dp/1466590971/
Monday, November 21, 2011
2012-2015: lucky years to have babies in the US.
In his book Outliers, Malcolm Gladwell notes that the generation of Americans born during the Great Depression ( when the birth rate in the US was the lowest on record) did really well economically. They studied at schools and colleges that were less crowded; they got good jobs working for the Baby Boom generation families, and etc. Now, with the Great Recession entering its 5th year, we see a similar birth rate troff:
(Nov 21, 2011. BusinessWeek) - The number of births fell to an estimated 4 million last year, the
fewest since 1999, according to National Center for Health Statistics
data. American families -- whose finances have been hurt by high
unemployment, falling home prices and low pay raises -- lack confidence
to plan for “explosions in spending” required by a new child...
By 2015, women in their childbearing years may average 1.75 babies each,
a 30-year low, while “ Americans still believe that two or more
children is ideal,” said Bradford Wilcox, a sociology professor and
director of the National Marriage Project at the University of Virginia
in Charlottesville.
Taking into account that "The annual cost of raising a child ranges between $11,880 and $13,830 for a two-parent family earning $57,600 to $99,730," parents who plan to have kids now will presumably get an immediate hit, but their children will gain a long-term advantage over other age cohorts. Further, housing prices for families with kids will soon be the lowest in a generation, which will also add to the advantage.
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